First CFP Poll Out Oct 30 - Where Will MSU Be In First Poll?

First CFP Poll Out Oct 30 - Where Will MSU Be In First Poll?

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First CFP Poll Out Oct 30 - Where Will MSU Be In First Poll?

The CFP Selection Committee announced that it will release the first official CFP poll at 7p et on Monday, October 30th. Where will Michigan State be in that first poll?

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Today, the College Football Playoff Selection Committee has announced that it will release its first of what will end up being six rankings on the evening of Monday, October 30th at 7p et on ESPN.

There are bits of intrigue worth nibbling on as we read about how Ohio State athletic director, Gene Smith, will, as is standard now with the Selection Committee’s practice, recuse himself from any discussion related to Ohio State’s positioning and credentials when the rankings are being debated prior to release.

Also – if only Herb Deromedi was recused from coaching the Chippewas when they defeated George Perles’s Spartans at Spartan Stadium in 1991 AND 1992.

What should Spartan fans expect on the night of Monday, October 30th?

By the time the ESPN broadcast begins, Michigan State will have played eight games.

If you’re wondering what SpartansWire thinks about those first eight games, take a look at our in-depth, game-by-game breakdown and series of predictions here –

https://spartanswire.com/2018/05/21/18-schedule-first-four-games/

And here –

https://spartanswire.com/2018/05/24/18-scheduled-second-four-games/

We haven’t changed our thoughts on the way the first eight games are going to go for Michigan State.

The Spartans will be 8-0 after eight games.

Right now, the only poll that “matters” is the Amway Coaches Top 25 Poll.

When that poll was released recently, Michigan State came in at #12.

We examined that right here –

https://spartanswire.com/2018/08/02/michigan-state-12-in-opening-coaches-poll/

So the question becomes, how will things shake out for the teams ahead of Michigan State in the polls and how far will the Spartans climb?

Of course, separate from the polls, what the members of the Selection Committee actually think about the Spartans and how they will have performed in the first eight games of the season also “matters.”

But let’s speculate on what might happen and how things might go and how other teams might have fared in the first eight weeks and how that might impact Michigan State by the time 7p et on Monday, October 30th arrives.

ALABAMA

Alabama isn’t going to lose a game unless they decide to play a game or two with blindfolds on all players’ faces.

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CLEMSON

Clemson is not going to lose a game unless Furman is able to figure out how to get the Alabama three-deep to suit up in Purple Paladin uniforms for Clemson’s opener.

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OHIO STATE

Hmm.

The Buckeyes travel to Not All That Happy Valley for a football game on Saturday, September 29th.

If Ray Finkle is coaching the Buckeyes while Urban Meyer attends a self-help group therapy session on this day, the Buckeyes will end the day with a loss.

For the purposes of this exercise, let’s take a conservative approach and assume that Urban Meyer will be on the sideline for the battle at Penn State because Ohio State will be holding a press conference soon to announce that Urban Meyer has met with his pastor, they’ve searched their souls, they’ve asked God for forgiveness for “failing” to be properly prepared for the mean questions that were asked by the media about Urban Meyer’s long time assistant coach who has multiple domestic abuse allegations on his record while having worked for Urban Meyer and Urban Meyer will use this as an opportunity to make the world a better place and to help the children.

So, let’s say that Ohio State will remain undefeated even after their trip to Kind Of Unhappy Due To Deep Down Self Loathing Valley.

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GEORGIA

Georgia has two tall tasks prior to the October 30th CFP rankings.

On October 13th, the Dawgs have to go to Baton Rouge and that isn’t ever fun.

Unless, of course, the Bayou Bengals are coached by Ed Orgeron.

Still, that’s hardly a gimme for Georgia.

Ah, but Georgia has to show up for the game against Florida on October 27th in the most over rated rivalry game in all of sports.

And even though there was a long stretch in which Georgia began wincing at the coin toss, the Dawgs have demonstrated that they aren’t ascared of the Gators any more.

But winning both of these games?

The Dawgs will suffer a defeat in one of these ball games.

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OKLAHOMA

Memo to people who are thinking about the Oklahoma Sooners – Baker Mayfield is short and he might not end up being John Elway after his NFL career is done and he might have done some stupid things but he also won the Heisman Trophy, was the very first player selected in the NFL Draft, and he performed magic tricks on just about every offensive possession the Sooners had as he led the Sooners to lots of victories.

And Baker Mayfield isn’t on the team any more.

Yes, Kyle Murray has a lot of potential and, for some reason, people are referring to the fact that the Oakland Athletics drafted Murray as a way to suggest that he’s going to be great – but can we see him win and be great before we just assume he’s going to be able to plant flags at midfield after strolling into Columbus and gut-punching a legitimate powerhouse?

Iowa State is a dangerous matchup in Ames on September 15th and the game at TCU on October 20th is tricky, to say the least.

The Sooners are going to have one loss by the time October 30th arrives.

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WASHINGTON

Washington will have fallen twice by October 30th – the opener at Auburn looks like a “challenge” and it’s hard to envision the Huskies winning at Eugene on October 13th.

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WISCONSIN

Wisconsin will have Wisconsined all opponents come October 30th and will have an unblemished record.

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THE U

The U will have come up short at least once with toughies at LSU and at home (or whatever they call it when they play at Hard Rock Stadium) against Florida State.

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PENN STATE

Penn State will have had only three happy quarters on October 13th when Michigan State visits.

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AUBURN

Auburn will be foaming at the mouth due to its perfect record as it begins to think about the Iron Bowl when October 30th’s CFP rankings are released.

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NOTRE DAME

Notre Dame has its sort-of ACC schedule to deal with – and the big one against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem is on September 22nd.

But the Irish have to go to Stanford the very next Saturday and the combination of the emotional high the Irish will have just been on after their annual clash with their sort-of conference rivals, the Demon Deacons, and the fact that Bryce Love will have just discovered a cure for Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease thanks to being a STANFORD man, the Cardinal will be riding high enough to bring the Irish back down to earth and hand them their first defeat of the season.

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Okay – so what does all of this mean?

It means that these teams that are currently in front of Michigan State in the Amway Coaches Top 25 will have lost at least one game while the Spartans will be 8-0:

  • Georgia
  • Oklahoma
  • Washington
  • Penn State
  • The U
  • Notre Dame

That’s six teams.

Would Michigan State move up six spots?

Am I even close to being right on any of these predicted losses?

Let’s go ahead and be conservative and say that, maybe, four of the teams listed lose a game and Michigan State is 8-0.

Can we live with Michigan State showing up in the first CFP rankings at the #8 spot?

Beautiful view of the landscape from that spot, folks…….

CFP committee meets to discuss release dates, recusals

The College Football Playoff selection committee met this week to review the dates of its weekly rankings and the protocol for determining them and finalized the list of members who will be recused from voting or discussions regarding selected teams.

The 13-member committee will announce its first of six rankings at 7 p.m. ET on Oct. 30 (ESPN), and Selection Day is Dec. 2. The committee will meet in person to determine each ranking, on Mondays and Tuesdays, at the Gaylord Texan resort in Grapevine, Texas.

The CFP’s recusal policy remains the same, and requires that “a recused member shall not participate in any votes involving the team from which the individual is recused.” They are also asked to leave the meeting room when their team is being discussed.

There are currently five sitting athletic directors on the selection committee who are recused from their current schools: Florida’s Scott Stricklin, Georgia Tech’s Todd Stansbury, Ohio State’s Gene Smith, Oklahoma’s Joe Castiglione, and Oregon’s Rob Mullens, who is also entering his first year as the committee chair.

Also recused this year are: professor Paola Boivin (Arizona State), Herb Deromedi (Central Michigan), Jeff Bower (Southern Mississippi) and Frank Beamer (Virginia Tech and Oklahoma). Beamer is also recused from OU because his son, Shane, was hired there in January as assistant head coach for offense, tight ends and h-backs.

The recusal policy is implemented when a committee member or an immediate family member is still being paid by a school, provides professional services for a school or is on the coaching or administrative staff or team.

There are six new selection committee members this year, including Boivin, Stricklin, Stansbury, Castiglione, former USC All-American Ronnie Lott and former coach Ken Hatfield.

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